Monday, April 16, 2012

Most Published Science is False

Trust Metastudies and Settled Science, Not the New Stuff

Beware: as the flowchart above suggests, most published scientific research is probably false.    Seriously, there's a pretty big decline effect problem in science. 

This is why you should trust meta-analyses (scientific surveys of all the related studies on a particular issue) over any individual study.  You should also trust settled science (the stuff you'd find in a textbook) more than any new scientific research.  And you should be especially wary of any science explained on the news

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